Nobody now knows the exact contours of the November 4th Electoral College map. Nobody will know it until after the polls have closed. But except for the guessing game about the vice presidential nominations, there’s no greater fun to be had in July. So the Crystal Ball is pleased to unveil our best estimates more […]
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During a visit to Haditha in western Iraq last summer, I attended a meeting of tribal sheiks, U.S. Marine Corps commanders and members of a U.S. State Department Provincial Reconstruction Team.
As the cramped office of Haditha’s mayor grew stuffy with cigarette smoke, sweat, and the oppressive 115 degree heat, I was struck by how […]
Generational change can be jolting. For my parents, it was listening to Pink Floyd that convinced them their enjoyment of Bach and Beethoven had been displaced. For Boomers like me, it is technology that creates the same gulf from my own kids.
I struggle with all of the fancy generational definitions consulting hucksters […]
Much has been made in the past of presidential candidates’ campaign theme songs, but there would be no more appropriate choice for this year’s Republican nominee, John McCain, than the Rolling Stones’ classic, “Time Is on My Side.” Political observers, including your Crystal Ball, are virtually unanimous in their assessment that the prevailing conditions this […]
Last December, when we first sketched out the upcoming House elections, we suggested that Democrats were likely to have a good year. Nothing has changed our forecast in the six months since, and if anything, we now see November 2008 as probably the best year Democrats have had in many a moon. Only a solid […]


