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Larry Sabato
Roadmap to the White House: Why Obama Is Favored to Win

Nobody now knows the exact contours of the November 4th Electoral College map. Nobody will know it until after the polls have closed. But except for the guessing game about the vice presidential nominations, there’s no greater fun to be had in July. So the Crystal Ball is pleased to unveil our best estimates more […]

Chip Jones
The Lessons of Haditha: Could Cooperation Prevail in General Assembly?

During a visit to Haditha in western Iraq last summer, I attended a meeting of tribal sheiks, U.S. Marine Corps commanders and members of a U.S. State Department Provincial Reconstruction Team.
As the cramped office of Haditha’s mayor grew stuffy with cigarette smoke, sweat, and the oppressive 115 degree heat, I was struck by how […]

Bill Bergman
Notes from the Generational Divide: Or, How I Learned to Love Facebook

Generational change can be jolting. For my parents, it was listening to Pink Floyd that convinced them their enjoyment of Bach and Beethoven had been displaced. For Boomers like me, it is technology that creates the same gulf from my own kids.
I struggle with all of the fancy generational definitions consulting hucksters […]

Larry Sabato
Time Is On His Side: The John McCain/Mick Jagger Connection

Much has been made in the past of presidential candidates’ campaign theme songs, but there would be no more appropriate choice for this year’s Republican nominee, John McCain, than the Rolling Stones’ classic, “Time Is on My Side.” Political observers, including your Crystal Ball, are virtually unanimous in their assessment that the prevailing conditions this […]

Larry Sabato
Reshuffling House: Can McCain Stop Dems?

Last December, when we first sketched out the upcoming House elections, we suggested that Democrats were likely to have a good year. Nothing has changed our forecast in the six months since, and if anything, we now see November 2008 as probably the best year Democrats have had in many a moon. Only a solid […]

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