Larry Sabato
Reshuffling House: Can McCain Stop Dems?

Last December, when we first sketched out the upcoming House elections, we suggested that Democrats were likely to have a good year. Nothing has changed our forecast in the six months since, and if anything, we now see November 2008 as probably the best year Democrats have had in many a moon. Only a solid presidential victory by John McCain that is strong enough to come with coattails attached can change this vision of the next congressional Election Day.

Continue reading at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball.

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About Larry Sabato

The founder and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, Larry J. Sabato has appeared on national television and radio programs including 60 Minutes, Today, Hardball, and Nightline. A Rhodes Scholar, he received his doctorate in politics from Oxford, and has been at UVA since 1978. The author of countless articles and some twenty books, most recently The Sixth Year Itch: The Rise and Fall of George W. Bush’s Presidency, he co-anchored the BBC’s coverage of the 2006 election. In 2002, the University of Virginia gave him its highest honor, the Thomas Jefferson Award. Dr. Sabato is also regularly updating "Sabato's Crystal Ball," a critically acclaimed election analysis website which recorded the most accurate election predictions in the country in 2006, correctly predicting every contest for the U.S. Senate, all but one gubernatorial race, and a net party change of 29 seats in the U.S. House.

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